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Qual 1772016 Michigan State Championship
Red127
233737.9
438444.4
261131.8
Blue130
102537.7
587833.8
6754.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151356080100160180200127130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#54
44.40.5
44.7→45.2
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
blue by 10.0
67
#13
54.50.1
56.4→56.5
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
2337
#60
37.90.5
38.5→39.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
red by 0.2
1025
#76
37.70.1
37.5→37.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Third
2611
#95
31.80.5
31.8→32.2
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
blue by 2.0
5878
#32
33.80.1
34.0→34.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned62%Capture oddsEarned