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Red121
353832.4
421636.8
6837.0
Blue126
7046.2
295936.0
353442.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011286080120140160180200220121126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#79
37.00.9
36.237.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
blue by 9.2
70
#7
46.20.4
44.444.8
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
Second
4216
#63
36.80.9
35.936.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
blue by 5.7
3534
#20
42.50.4
39.640.0
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
3538
#92
32.40.9
30.431.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
blue by 3.5
2959
#96
36.00.4
36.536.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned58%Capture oddsEarned