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Red165
439143.8
191849.2
437737.4
Blue113
523037.3
57337.1
261936.6
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125109406080100140160180165113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.23.1
46.249.2
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
red by 11.9
5230
#90
37.30.0
36.636.5
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
Second
4391
#21
43.83.1
39.442.5
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
red by 6.7
573
#24
37.10.0
36.136.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End4.4
Third
4377
#55
37.43.1
33.536.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
red by 0.8
2619
#40
36.60.0
35.935.9
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsEarned