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Qual 1832016 Michigan State Championship
Red137
247442.2
370730.8
496750.3
Blue114
609731.6
522227.0
546050.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010150150200137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#6
50.31.0
50.9→51.9
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
red by 0.2
5460
#26
50.10.8
47.7→48.4
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
2474
#12
42.21.0
40.9→41.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 10.6
6097
#85
31.60.8
29.7→30.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
Third
3707
#68
30.81.0
30.2→31.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
red by 3.8
5222
#94
27.00.8
25.3→26.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
78%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed