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Red160
477631.4
3356.5
49447.4
Blue143
504838.0
436244.6
511442.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361216080100160180200160143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.52.0
56.158.2
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 11.9
4362
#18
44.61.6
40.842.4
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
494
#14
47.42.0
44.746.7
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
red by 5.1
5114
#66
42.41.6
41.042.6
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
Third
4776
#84
31.42.0
28.931.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
blue by 6.6
5048
#25
38.01.6
37.639.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned58%Capture oddsEarned