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Red120
515539.8
516632.1
354837.5
Blue139
54843.2
544841.1
354641.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031356080120160180200120139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#86
39.81.0
38.039.1
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
blue by 3.4
548
#38
43.20.5
44.344.7
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Second
3548
#62
37.51.0
36.437.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
blue by 4.3
3546
#37
41.80.5
43.443.8
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Third
5166
#65
32.11.0
30.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
blue by 9.1
5448
#44
41.10.5
39.239.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned72%Capture oddsMissed