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Red101
168438.4
366832.6
5136.1
Blue143
277156.6
170142.5
505331.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111406080100120160180200220101143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#46
38.40.8
41.941.2
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
blue by 18.2
2771
#11
56.60.1
58.658.7
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
51
#42
36.10.8
36.736.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 6.4
1701
#33
42.50.1
41.942.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.1
End7.8
Third
3668
#75
32.60.8
33.632.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End4.2
red by 0.8
5053
#19
31.70.1
31.231.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsEarned90%Capture oddsEarned