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Qual 1912016 Michigan State Championship
Red132
148134.2
261936.6
2753.4
Blue100
7438.7
132222.7
102537.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130976080120140160180200132100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
53.40.7
52.1→52.8
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 14.7
74
#78
38.70.0
39.0→39.0
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
Second
2619
#40
36.60.7
35.9→36.6
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
blue by 1.2
1025
#76
37.70.0
37.7→37.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Third
1481
#59
34.20.7
33.5→34.2
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
red by 11.5
1322
#102
22.70.0
22.7→22.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
60%Capture oddsEarned23%Capture oddsMissed