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Red128
21746.4
353442.5
522227.0
Blue107
353937.8
50339.6
233737.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115123050100150200250128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.41.0
46.947.9
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 6.7
503
#74
39.61.1
40.339.2
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
Second
3534
#20
42.51.0
40.041.0
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
red by 4.6
2337
#60
37.91.1
39.037.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Third
5222
#94
27.01.0
26.027.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
blue by 10.8
3539
#69
37.81.1
38.937.8
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
58%Capture oddsEarned62%Capture oddsMissed