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Qual 1952016 Michigan State Championship
Red134
7046.2
436244.6
260425.8
Blue122
354837.5
438132.2
496750.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312750100150200134122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
46.21.5
44.8→46.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
blue by 4.0
4967
#6
50.30.0
51.9→52.0
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
4362
#18
44.61.5
42.4→43.9
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 7.1
3548
#62
37.50.0
37.4→37.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
2604
#73
25.81.5
24.3→25.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 6.3
4381
#98
32.20.0
32.1→32.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
50%Capture oddsEarned69%Capture oddsMissed