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Red130
523037.3
515539.8
505043.2
Blue122
438444.4
49447.4
168438.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118140100150200130122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#15
43.20.8
42.743.5
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
blue by 4.2
494
#14
47.40.7
46.746.0
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
5155
#86
39.80.8
39.139.8
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
blue by 4.6
4384
#54
44.40.7
45.244.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Third
5230
#90
37.30.8
36.537.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
blue by 1.1
1684
#46
38.40.7
41.240.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
68%Capture oddsEarned78%Capture oddsEarned