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Qual 1972016 Michigan State Championship
Red116
370730.8
354641.8
8545.7
Blue142
365638.2
515040.1
400343.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512180100140160180116142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#58
45.70.3
46.0→45.7
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
red by 1.7
4003
#3
43.91.2
42.5→43.7
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
Second
3546
#37
41.80.3
43.8→43.5
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 1.7
5150
#4
40.11.2
38.9→40.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Third
3707
#68
30.80.3
31.2→30.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
blue by 7.3
3656
#87
38.21.2
36.9→38.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
82%Capture oddsEarned38%Capture oddsEarned