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Red110
477631.4
505331.7
57337.1
Blue127
550547.6
508431.5
520335.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98119406080140160180110127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#24
37.10.4
36.036.5
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End4.4
blue by 10.5
5505
#23
47.61.0
47.048.0
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
Second
5053
#19
31.70.4
31.331.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 3.7
5203
#88
35.41.0
34.435.4
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
Third
4776
#84
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
blue by 0.1
5084
#27
31.51.0
31.232.1
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned52%Capture oddsMissed