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Qual 302016 Michigan State Championship
Red103
515040.1
477631.4
102537.7
Blue124
608638.3
362056.3
523037.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981376080120160180200103124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#4
40.10.2
37.1→36.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 16.1
3620
#9
56.30.2
51.9→51.7
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
Second
1025
#76
37.70.2
34.7→34.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
blue by 0.6
6086
#31
38.30.2
38.4→38.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
Third
4776
#84
31.40.2
28.9→28.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
blue by 5.9
5230
#90
37.30.2
37.1→36.9
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed