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Red171
7046.2
10743.9
354641.8
Blue140
612132.1
277156.6
511442.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212050100150200171140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
46.22.8
37.540.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
blue by 10.4
2771
#11
56.61.5
48.650.1
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
107
#45
43.92.8
39.842.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 1.5
5114
#66
42.41.5
40.441.9
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
Third
3546
#37
41.82.8
41.444.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 9.8
6121
#81
32.11.5
28.229.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsEarned