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Qual 392016 Michigan State Championship
Red77
550232.0
365534.7
523037.3
Blue101
400343.9
132222.7
5136.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107875015077101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#90
37.31.6
36.9→35.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
blue by 6.6
4003
#3
43.90.6
33.7→34.3
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
Second
3655
#56
34.71.6
31.0→29.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 1.3
51
#42
36.10.6
28.9→29.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Third
5502
#97
32.01.6
32.8→31.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
red by 9.2
1322
#102
22.70.6
24.5→25.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned