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Red133
353442.5
170142.5
57337.1
Blue131
590731.3
388626.6
362056.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201076080100140160180200133131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#33
42.51.2
43.644.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.1
End7.8
blue by 13.8
56.31.0
51.752.7
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
Second
3534
#20
42.51.2
40.141.3
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
red by 11.1
5907
#83
31.31.0
28.329.4
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
Third
573
#24
37.11.2
31.232.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 10.5
3886
#91
26.61.0
25.726.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsEarned