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Qual 412016 Michigan State Championship
Red87
12330.5
609835.2
247442.2
Blue118
520335.4
102537.7
323437.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410005015020087118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#12
42.20.9
36.7→35.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 4.5
1025
#76
37.71.0
34.5→35.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Second
6098
#57
35.20.9
36.5→35.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 2.4
3234
#47
37.61.0
32.9→33.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Third
123
#82
30.50.9
27.0→26.1
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
blue by 4.9
5203
#88
35.41.0
30.6→31.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned