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Red101
283444.0
341433.1
505331.7
Blue95
505043.2
504838.0
522227.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129705015020010195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#30
44.01.0
44.343.3
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
red by 0.8
5050
#15
43.20.1
41.141.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
Second
3414
#70
33.11.0
29.528.4
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 5.0
5048
#25
38.00.1
29.129.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Third
5053
#19
31.71.1
32.931.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 4.7
5222
#94
27.00.1
26.226.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned