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Red114
609731.6
439143.8
3356.5
Blue120
10743.9
6837.0
608638.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612080100140160180114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
56.50.1
49.349.4
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
red by 12.5
107
#45
43.90.0
42.642.5
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
4391
#21
43.80.1
35.935.9
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
red by 5.5
6086
#31
38.30.0
38.238.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
Third
6097
#85
31.60.1
28.028.0
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
blue by 5.4
68
#79
37.00.0
34.934.8
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed