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Red94
619331.5
171128.4
598041.4
Blue84
354641.8
477631.4
21746.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90128501001502009484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
38.638.3
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
blue by 4.9
217
#41
46.42.7
46.143.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
6193
#34
31.50.3
31.831.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
blue by 10.3
3546
#37
41.82.7
44.241.6
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Third
1711
#71
28.40.3
23.022.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
blue by 3.0
4776
#84
31.42.7
28.726.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned64%Capture oddsMissed