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Red96
437737.4
213741.5
438444.4
Blue129
436244.6
148134.2
366832.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123110608010014016018020022096129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#54
44.41.4
42.541.0
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
blue by 0.1
4362
#18
44.61.4
42.343.7
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
2137
#77
41.51.4
39.938.5
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
red by 7.3
1481
#59
34.21.4
31.532.9
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Third
4377
#55
37.41.4
35.233.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
red by 4.8
3668
#75
32.61.4
34.836.2
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned