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Red105
6632.4
592628.8
205444.7
Blue120
260425.8
516632.1
277156.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10099050150200105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#49
44.70.2
41.241.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
blue by 11.9
2771
#11
56.61.6
50.151.7
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
Second
66
#89
32.40.2
27.427.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End6.3
red by 0.3
5166
#65
32.11.6
26.728.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Third
5926
#99
28.80.2
28.328.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
red by 3.0
2604
#73
25.81.6
19.320.9
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsEarned