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Red190
102347.2
49447.4
2753.4
Blue106
438132.2
612132.1
8545.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389950150200190106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
53.44.1
46.951.0
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 7.7
85
#58
45.70.3
41.341.5
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Second
494
#14
47.44.1
37.841.9
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
red by 15.3
4381
#98
32.20.3
31.131.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
1023
#17
47.24.1
43.547.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
red by 15.2
6121
#81
32.10.3
29.730.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed