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Red78
607529.4
370730.8
353937.8
Blue124
515539.8
191849.2
125033.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901185010015078124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#69
37.80.9
37.937.0
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
blue by 11.4
49.20.9
44.945.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Second
3707
#68
30.80.9
24.924.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
blue by 9.0
5155
#86
39.80.9
37.138.0
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Third
6075
#80
29.40.9
29.128.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End5.1
blue by 3.7
1250
#52
33.10.9
28.829.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsEarned