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Qual 512016 Michigan State Championship
Red118
515040.1
544841.1
421636.8
Blue115
360442.4
587833.8
171843.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107120050150200250118115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#44
41.10.5
35.2→35.7
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
blue by 2.1
1718
#72
43.30.0
42.0→42.1
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
Second
5150
#4
40.10.5
36.9→37.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 2.3
3604
#28
42.40.0
41.0→41.1
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
Third
4216
#63
36.80.5
33.6→34.1
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
red by 2.9
5878
#32
33.80.0
31.4→31.4
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed