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Red85
550232.0
439143.8
509027.7
Blue127
233737.9
85843.9
505331.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511105015020025085127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#21
43.80.6
35.935.3
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
blue by 0.1
858
#29
43.91.1
38.539.6
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
Second
5502
#97
32.00.6
31.230.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
blue by 5.9
2337
#60
37.91.1
35.536.6
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Third
5090
#100
27.70.6
27.326.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
blue by 4.0
5053
#19
31.71.1
31.933.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsEarned