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Red155
283444.0
550547.6
345240.6
Blue147
3356.5
6754.5
12330.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251296080100140160180200155147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#23
47.61.2
41.442.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
blue by 8.8
33
#10
56.51.5
49.450.9
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
Second
2834
#30
44.01.2
43.344.5
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End3.6
blue by 10.5
67
#13
54.51.5
49.250.7
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Third
3452
#36
40.61.2
37.638.8
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
red by 10.0
123
#82
30.51.5
26.127.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsEarned28%Capture oddsEarned