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Red136
6754.5
368844.1
437737.4
Blue120
8545.7
619331.5
362056.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131130110120140150136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#13
54.50.4
47.847.5
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
blue by 1.8
56.30.5
52.451.9
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
Second
3688
#22
44.10.4
45.645.2
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
blue by 1.5
85
#58
45.70.5
42.341.9
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Third
4377
#55
37.40.4
33.132.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
red by 5.8
6193
#34
31.50.5
32.231.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsEarned