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Red96
607529.4
21746.4
421636.8
Blue125
354837.5
388626.6
3356.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411040608010014016018020096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.40.9
47.046.1
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
blue by 10.1
33
#10
56.50.8
48.649.5
Auto8.8
Teleop37.4
End10.2
Second
4216
#63
36.80.9
33.332.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.4
End5.7
blue by 0.7
3548
#62
37.50.8
32.633.4
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
6075
#80
29.40.9
29.728.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End5.1
red by 2.8
3886
#91
26.60.8
26.227.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned