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Qual 622016 Michigan State Championship
Red129
353937.8
295936.0
377036.7
Blue125
54843.2
102537.7
168438.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611850150200129125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#69
37.81.3
37.0→38.3
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
blue by 5.5
548
#38
43.20.8
38.3→39.1
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Second
3770
#35
36.71.3
31.3→32.6
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
blue by 1.6
1684
#46
38.40.8
39.2→40.0
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
Third
2959
#96
36.01.3
36.4→37.7
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
blue by 1.7
1025
#76
37.70.8
35.5→36.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsEarned