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Red97
102347.2
191849.2
619331.5
Blue88
170142.5
608638.3
522227.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132109501502002509788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.9
45.844.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
red by 6.8
1701
#33
42.51.7
44.843.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.1
End7.8
Second
1023
#17
47.21.9
47.645.8
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
red by 8.9
6086
#31
38.31.7
38.236.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
Third
6193
#34
31.51.9
31.529.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
red by 4.5
5222
#94
27.01.7
26.124.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed