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Red92
516632.1
571236.4
171843.3
Blue136
50339.6
438444.4
370730.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104109020030040050092136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#72
43.30.6
42.141.4
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
blue by 1.2
4384
#54
44.41.7
41.042.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
Second
5712
#48
36.40.6
31.230.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
blue by 3.2
503
#74
39.61.7
40.342.0
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
Third
5166
#65
32.10.6
28.327.6
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 1.2
3707
#68
30.81.7
24.025.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed68%Capture oddsEarned