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Red159
8545.7
504838.0
10743.9
Blue67
353832.4
544841.1
132222.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121905010015020015967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#58
45.72.7
41.544.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
red by 4.5
5448
#44
41.11.7
35.734.0
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Second
107
#45
43.92.7
42.545.3
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 11.5
3538
#92
32.41.7
31.629.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.4
End4.0
Third
5048
#25
38.02.7
29.031.7
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
red by 15.3
1322
#102
22.71.7
25.023.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed