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Red97
550232.0
438132.2
468033.4
Blue99
148134.2
345240.6
376728.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961080501509799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#93
33.40.1
33.033.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
blue by 7.2
3452
#36
40.60.3
38.838.5
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
Second
4381
#98
32.20.1
31.431.5
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
blue by 2.1
1481
#59
34.20.3
33.433.1
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Third
5502
#97
32.00.1
30.630.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
red by 3.9
3767
#101
28.10.3
31.130.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed