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Qual 722016 Michigan State Championship
Red137
608638.3
368844.1
353638.3
Blue126
377036.7
205444.7
341433.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122105050150200250137126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#22
44.11.0
43.5→44.5
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
blue by 0.6
2054
#49
44.70.7
42.7→43.5
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
6086
#31
38.31.0
36.4→37.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
red by 1.6
3770
#35
36.70.7
32.6→33.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
Third
3536
#64
38.31.0
36.5→37.6
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
red by 5.3
3414
#70
33.10.7
29.5→30.2
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsMissed