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Qual 712016 Michigan State Championship
Red102
587833.8
354641.8
505331.7
Blue84
295936.0
7438.7
260425.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010105015020010284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#37
41.80.2
41.4→41.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 3.1
74
#78
38.71.0
38.1→37.1
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
Second
5878
#32
33.80.2
31.2→30.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
blue by 2.1
2959
#96
36.01.0
37.7→36.6
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
Third
5053
#19
31.70.2
33.0→32.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 5.9
2604
#73
25.81.0
23.8→22.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsEarned38%Capture oddsMissed