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Qual 822016 Michigan State Championship
Red152
335742.2
6754.5
258635.2
Blue115
10743.9
353442.5
168438.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129130100110120140150160170152115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#13
54.51.4
50.7→52.1
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
red by 10.6
107
#45
43.90.7
45.3→44.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
Second
3357
#43
42.21.4
46.2→47.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
blue by 0.3
3534
#20
42.50.7
40.4→39.7
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
2586
#50
35.21.4
29.4→30.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End4.7
blue by 3.1
1684
#46
38.40.7
40.0→39.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsEarned