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Red141
439143.8
277156.6
505043.2
Blue86
360231.5
261131.8
50339.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138108608010012016018020022014186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.60.3
52.352.1
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 17.0
503
#74
39.61.5
42.040.4
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
Second
4391
#21
43.80.3
35.335.1
Auto15.6
Teleop22.1
End6.1
red by 12.0
2611
#95
31.81.5
31.930.3
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Third
5050
#15
43.20.3
42.342.0
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 11.7
3602
#61
31.51.5
35.233.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
69%Capture oddsEarned31%Capture oddsMissed