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Red114
438444.4
12330.5
592628.8
Blue130
544841.1
8545.7
609731.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011150150200114130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#54
44.41.0
42.843.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
blue by 1.2
85
#58
45.71.6
44.345.9
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Second
123
#82
30.51.0
27.628.6
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
blue by 10.6
5448
#44
41.11.6
34.035.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
Third
5926
#99
28.81.0
28.429.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
blue by 2.9
6097
#85
31.61.6
27.829.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned