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Red107
171123.5
607523.0
570921.6
Blue113
159627.0
523026.8
498322.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849560100120140107113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
23.223.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 3.4
1596
#11
27.00.4
26.727.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
Second
23.00.2
22.723.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 3.8
26.80.4
26.526.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.7
End4.9
Third
5709
#33
21.60.2
21.321.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End3.2
blue by 0.7
4983
#15
22.30.4
22.022.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.7