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Red102
361727.3
587824.8
258629.1
Blue107
550533.7
388625.2
554723.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011066080120140160102107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#19
29.10.0
28.828.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
blue by 4.6
33.70.1
33.934.0
Auto7.2
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
3617
#17
27.30.0
26.927.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 2.0
25.20.1
25.425.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Third
5878
#12
24.80.0
24.524.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End3.4
red by 1.1
5547
#21
23.80.1
23.924.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5