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Red91
90430.5
437629.5
548623.9
Blue102
361727.3
587824.8
258629.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061008012014091102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#4
30.50.3
31.130.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 1.4
2586
#19
29.10.0
28.628.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Second
29.50.3
30.129.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 2.2
3617
#17
27.30.0
26.826.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Third
5486
#29
23.90.3
24.524.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
blue by 1.0
5878
#12
24.80.0
24.424.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End3.4