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Red109
90430.5
437629.5
548623.9
Blue104
361727.3
587824.8
258629.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106100708090120130140150109104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#4
30.50.0
31.131.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 1.4
2586
#19
29.10.1
28.528.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Second
29.50.0
30.130.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 2.2
3617
#17
27.30.1
26.726.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Third
5486
#29
23.90.0
24.524.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
blue by 1.0
5878
#12
24.80.1
24.324.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End3.4