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Red99
361727.3
587824.8
258629.1
Blue117
550533.7
388625.2
554723.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102105608012014016099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#19
29.10.1
29.129.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
blue by 4.6
33.70.2
33.834.0
Auto7.2
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
3617
#17
27.30.1
27.327.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 2.0
25.20.2
25.425.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Third
5878
#12
24.80.1
24.924.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End3.4
red by 1.1
5547
#21
23.80.2
23.924.1
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5