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Red53
498322.3
517518.7
437514.6
Blue47
611325.5
482722.7
483522.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534701001505347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#15
22.30.1
17.617.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.7
blue by 3.2
6113
#23
25.59.9
25.115.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.7
Second
5175
#40
18.70.1
18.919.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 4.1
4827
#16
22.70.5
15.114.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.6
Third
4375
#37
14.60.2
14.314.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 7.8
4835
#22
22.30.5
15.815.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed