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Red69
570921.6
548623.9
497025.7
Blue30
607916.7
570612.8
171123.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58593040507080906930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#13
25.70.7
18.519.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 2.2
23.53.4
23.520.1
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Second
5486
#29
23.90.4
22.623.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 7.1
6079
#34
16.73.4
13.29.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
5709
#33
21.60.7
16.517.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End3.2
red by 8.8
5706
#35
12.83.4
19.115.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed