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Red49
598922.2
570921.6
483522.3
Blue51
90430.5
439223.6
570612.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47690204060801001204951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4835
#22
22.30.0
15.315.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 8.1
904
#4
30.50.8
27.026.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
5989
#26
22.20.0
16.116.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 1.4
4392
#10
23.61.4
20.919.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End3.7
Third
5709
#33
21.60.0
17.217.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End3.2
red by 8.8
5706
#35
12.81.4
15.714.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed