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Red52
518315.6
548623.9
531415.1
Blue70
483522.3
557514.8
611916.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801005270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5486
#29
23.90.7
22.321.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 1.5
4835
#22
22.33.1
17.020.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Second
5183
#36
15.60.7
15.014.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6119
#28
16.81.8
15.917.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Third
5314
#39
15.11.2
15.314.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End0.2
red by 0.2
5575
#27
14.81.8
9.511.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed