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Red59
171123.5
437629.5
388625.2
Blue54
360232.5
85726.9
611213.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72792040601001205954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.8
25.724.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
blue by 3.0
32.51.4
32.430.9
Auto8.0
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
25.21.4
21.720.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
blue by 1.6
857
#25
26.91.4
27.826.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End3.6
Third
23.51.4
24.022.6
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 9.8
6112
#30
13.82.4
15.212.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed